Crypto Confluence · All creators · Benjamin Cowen

Creator profile · Aedilis Crypto Confluence

Benjamin Cowen

YouTube handle @benjaminjcowen. We extract every trade call from this creator’s latest video — entry zones, stops, targets, timeframe — and score them live against CoinGecko price data. · 8 active calls Last refresh: Jul 21, 2026 17:17 UTC.

Reminder: This is social media analysis, not financial advice. We have no idea what your financial situation is, and have no business giving you financial advice. You will lose money in crypto, and should not invest or trade crypto.

Accuracy scoreboard

7d hit-rate

—

1 pending

30d hit-rate

—

4 pending

90d hit-rate

33%

3/9 resolved · wtd 39%

Hit-rate = price reached the target in the stated direction before the horizon expired. Weighted score gives 1.5× credit to high-confidence calls. Scores require at least one resolved call — most creators are still accumulating pending calls.

Latest video

ETH: Dubious Speculation

2026-07-20 · BTC, ETH · 0 trade calls · 0 levels

Neutral

The creator provides a historical analysis comparing the price action of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the 2018 and 2022 market cycles. They highlight that while Bitcoin's summer rally and subsequent drop were similar in both years, Ethereum's reaction was different. In 2018, Ethereum broke support and made a new cycle low, whereas in 2022, it demonstrated relative strength by printing a higher low during Bitcoin's decline.

Watch source on YouTube →
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What Benjamin Cowen is saying

A plain-language read of the latest video — market observations and what this creator says they’re doing. Reported as their stance, not advice.

📊 Market read

In both 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin rallied in July and then gave the gains back.
In 2018, Ethereum was not able to hold support and made a new cycle low.
In 2022, Ethereum showed relative strength by printing a higher low when Bitcoin dropped.

Takeaway

The creator provides a historical analysis comparing Ethereum's relative strength to Bitcoin in the 2022 downturn versus its weakness in 2018.

Source: ETH: Dubious Speculation

Macro view from latest video

The creator analyzes historical cycles, noting that Ethereum's price action relative to Bitcoin differed significantly between the 2018 and 2022 downturns.

Source: ETH: Dubious Speculation

Trade calls

Entry zones, stops, and targets extracted from transcripts. Tabs: Scalp (≤7d), Swing (8–30d), Macro (30+d), History (resolved). Each call feeds the accuracy scoreboard above.

No scalp calls (≤7d) active — check Swing or Macro tabs.

BTC
▼ SHORT
MISS
Swing
Medium conf

Target

$50,000

Horizon: 14d
Called: 2026-06-06

❌ Target missed — expired 2026-06-20, price was $63,573

“45% down from the yearly open, you know, kind of puts you around that around that 50k level.…”

BTC
▼ SHORT
MISS
Swing
Medium conf

Target

$57,000

Horizon: 14d
Called: 2026-06-05

❌ Target missed — expired 2026-06-19, price was $63,144

“I would expect Bitcoin to set a low in June… maybe like 57K or 58K.…”

BTC
▼ SHORT
MISS
Swing
Medium conf

Target

$58,000

Horizon: 21d
Called: 2026-06-04

❌ Target missed — expired 2026-06-25, price was $59,388

“I do not think the February low is necessarily safe from being taken out.…”

BTC
▼ SHORT
MISS
Swing
Medium conf

Target

$59,500

Horizon: 21d
Called: 2026-06-02

❌ Target missed — expired 2026-06-23, price was $62,882

“Bitcoin could come down here to the 200-week moving average, maybe wick below it and take out the low from February of 2026……”

BTC
▼ SHORT
HIT
Swing
Low conf

Target

$70,000

Horizon: 14d
Called: 2026-06-01

✅ Target hit on 2026-06-02 at $70,000

“if I had to guess… I would say what's most likely to happen is that Bitcoin tags 70K soon…”

BTC
▼ SHORT
MISS
Macro
Low conf

Target

$58,000

Horizon: 45d
Called: 2026-05-29

❌ Target missed — expired 2026-07-13, price was $64,804

“So, Bitcoin could go down to say 58K……”

BTC
▼ SHORT
HIT
Macro
High conf

Target

$60,000

Horizon: 150d
Called: 2026-05-26

✅ Target hit on 2026-06-08 at $60,000

“I would still argue there would be a very likely chance that Bitcoin would still at least return back down to 60K sometime later this year.…”

BTC
▼ SHORT
HIT
Macro
High conf

Target

$60,000

Horizon: 60d
Called: 2026-05-25

✅ Target hit on 2026-06-08 at $60,000

“at least a sweep of the low at at 60k I think would be highly probable to happen within the next couple of months or so.…”

Sentiment history

Date	Sentiment	Score	Video
2026-07-20	Neutral	0	ETH: Dubious Speculation
2026-07-20	Bearish	-1	Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
2026-07-19	Bearish	-2	S&P 500: Seasonal Correction Starting in August/September?
2026-07-16	Bearish	-1	Bitcoin Market Cycles
2026-07-15	Mixed	-1	Inflation and Bitcoin
2026-07-14	Bearish	-1	Understanding This Bitcoin Bear Market

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How we score: a “call” is a (coin, direction, target_level, time-horizon) quadruple that Gemini 2.5 Pro extracted from the creator’s transcript. At every 12-hour batch we re-fetch CoinGecko historical range data and check whether the target was reached in the called direction before the horizon expired. Hit-rate excludes still-pending calls. Weighted score gives 1.5× to high-confidence calls and 0.75× to low-confidence calls. See How to read a crypto accuracy scoreboard.

This is social media analysis, not financial advice. We have no idea what your financial situation is, and have no business giving you financial advice. You will lose money in crypto, and should not invest or trade crypto.